I was thinking recently about my first cell phone. It was big and bulky; it had a cord from the receiver to the phone; and I carried it in a bag. That was 1996. How times have changed. I wonder what will happen in the next decade that will completely change the way we live. Certainly there are things being invented that we cannot imagine.

When I was in New York City over Thanksgiving, Stephen and I toured the USS Intrepid. It has a Concorde SST Jet on the deck that you can tour. The attendant gave a brief history of super sonic travel and then said that such travel “would never occur again.” I could not disagree more.

We will find faster, more efficient ways to travel. I believe air travel as we currently know it will radically change over the next several years. I also believe travel by car will look completely different by 2020.

I am including some quotes from over the years about whether a particular invention will take hold. These are kind of fun now that we have the benefit of history.

“”Heavier than air flying machines are impossible.”  Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society, 1895

“I think there is a world market for maybe 5 computers.” Thomas Watson, IBM Chairman 1943

“The telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication.” Western Union Internal Memo, 1876

“There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in their home.” Ken Olsen, President of Digital Equipment Corp. 1977

What are your beliefs about the future? Are they constrained and negative? Or are they positive, hopeful, visionary?


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